Sponsors should increase their focus on integrating external data sets from the industry to add to the existing body of internal knowledge to better inform trial design. This includes data from historical trials, ongoing clinical trials, electronic patient records, and epidemiological studies, alongside newer sources such as wearable and telemedicine devices, as well as health applications. But more data does not automatically equal more knowledge. Analytics are essential to extract the information needed to actually design oncology trials around the insights held within.
Moving away from long-held trial planning and execution practices to adopt a data-led approach will require buy-in at a senior level to really maximise the benefits. New skills and tools will be needed, and key ‘actors’ in the development space – from regulators to investigators and CROs, and patients – will need to collaborate more closely. In oncology, data-led trials will ultimately accelerate the clinical development pathway, reduce patient burden, and minimise amendments – or even eliminate them entirely.
Data holds much promise in alleviating the burden on patients across all clinical trials. Whether by reducing the need for comparator arms, shortening cycle times, or reducing amendments – data can be used to make the trial experience and execution better. In cancer trials specifically, insights from digital patient data help sponsors make sure the right patients are being recruited for a trial and assigned the most appropriate potential therapy. Digital data at patient and cohort levels can be used to identify the attributes of the patients a therapy is supposed to treat before the trial even starts, to improve recruitment and enrolment success.
By leveraging historical and ongoing oncology trial data at scale, trials can be simulated and modelled accurately. This allows safety and efficacy outcomes to be predicted for many different treatments before they are administered to patients. Reducing the need for patients to take inferior comparator or placebo medicines and managing risk in this way is key, especially in oncology, for which therapies are becoming increasingly targeted.
With data we have obtained from patients in the past, it is also possible to help us to interpret results from single-arm trials more accurately. Among other benefits, this will help us to avoid predictably futile clinical trials.
The first edition of our Digital Patient Profile (DPP) catalogue was published to deliver granular patient-level data for 28 key diseases – 11 of which fall within oncology. The profiles are based on more than 485,000 curated clinical trials and amendments and contain data from over 60 million patients. We have the data to create bespoke DPPs for more than 4,000 disease indications, providing detailed information on the patient population, including attributes such as age, sex, ethnicity, and comorbidities, among many other key variables.
DPPs provide a statistical view of patient attributes and can be used by sponsors to improve programme and trial protocol design by providing a clear view of the target patient population at the trial planning stage. DPPs also support wider adoption of single-arm trials by helping sponsors demonstrate efficacy and safety in relevant patient cohorts. Further down the line, the profiles can be used to develop digital twins and digital trial arms as part of clinical development strategies.
In clinical development, data enables researchers to simulate and predict different outcomes in a clinical trial with greater certainty. Data is collated from similar or identical trials using the same agent, with real-world patient data, to accurately model placebo/comparator outcomes and construct digital twins and digital trial arms.
A digital twin can be used to detect early signals of trial outcomes, protect patient safety, facilitate regulatory dialogue, and enhance submissions. When a digital twin is planned and implemented in alignment with regulatory authorities, it becomes a digital trial arm, or external control arm, as the FDA calls them, reducing or eliminating the need for a placebo or a comparator arm. Thanks to oncology being such a well-researched field, there is a wealth of available data that can be employed to produce digital twins and digital trial arms for many indications.
Greater understanding of the genetic drivers of cancer is leading to more targeted therapies designed for smaller patient sub-populations, with oncology research increasingly focusing on cancers with specific genetic markers. This precision inevitably also leads to fewer and smaller suitable patient populations. With a growing number of single-arm studies and small-group trials, it is critical to have a watertight recruiting process and trial design.
Single-arm trials bring an inherent degree of uncertainty that can cause problems in trial design, patient recruitment, and data interpretation – all of which can delay patient access. Small single-arm trials are not always representative of the real-world patient population, which brings complications around interpretation of the results, delays approval, and causes difficulty in obtaining reimbursement. Clinical trial designs that are not informed by data, therefore, run the risk of developing drugs that are not efficacious for the target patient population.
All too often, trials are being initiated without a solid data foundation – with many sponsors still relying on a ‘gut feel’. By using data to profile the targeted patient population and implementing predictive analytics to determine projected outcomes, protocol and trial design can be optimised and feasibility studies can be carried out.
This reduces the number of patient participants needed for the trial and minimises costly delays around recruitment – and it ensures data requirements for regulatory submissions can be met. By predicting the pathway of a clinical trial before embarking on it, chances of success are high, unnecessary delays can be avoided, costs can be reduced, and failures mitigated.
In a data-led approach, it has repeatedly proven that we can prevent a failing trial from starting.
ASCO is always an excellent opportunity to connect with colleagues working in the oncology space, hear about breakthrough advances in medical and scientific research, and explore the key challenges facing the industry. By getting the very latest information on innovations in biology and chemistry – and advising on the best practices for trial design and execution for these potential therapies – we can support what we hope will be tremendous advances in oncology treatments and patient outcomes.
The future is here and now. As digital tools and practices become a mainstay in the life sciences space, the next one to three years hold the promise of significant breakthroughs. Digital analysis, empowered by artificial intelligence, is going to transform the planning and execution of projects – and in clinical development, this will see a move away from dated, gut-feel trial protocols towards data-driven, patient-centric clinical trials.
Smarter trials, faster cures.